Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 20.516486 22.471064 24.462639 26.639977 28.949631 31.322893 33.942088
2024-12-15 18.003010 20.956723 24.090163 27.646495 31.555396 35.706036 40.431488
2024-12-22 15.891984 19.383105 23.200940 27.654454 32.675096 38.129391 44.471723
2024-12-29 14.896042 18.867281 23.316882 28.619735 34.715030 41.451546 49.408394
2025-01-05 13.917998 18.247570 23.206368 29.229571 36.271256 44.169702 53.623876
2025-01-12 12.530455 17.023915 22.287088 28.803196 36.549828 45.365197 56.052979
2025-01-19 11.072501 15.604834 21.036128 27.890048 36.173927 45.733807 57.467954
2025-01-26 10.428114 15.142379 20.896716 28.269276 37.296002 47.826908 60.875652
2025-02-02 9.861072 14.734180 20.787224 28.653314 38.400176 49.884874 64.238110
2025-02-09 9.106647 14.032232 20.265584 28.487881 38.803721 51.084105 66.567073
2025-02-16 8.566893 13.578737 20.029726 28.653942 39.594248 52.736011 69.432456
2025-02-23 8.081630 13.167578 19.822253 28.833474 40.384818 54.378470 72.284634
2025-03-02 7.555674 12.680289 19.503664 28.868540 41.004454 55.835172 74.951825
2025-03-09 7.485050 12.829318 20.033534 30.014598 43.046854 59.068909 79.824865
2025-03-16 7.008516 12.366529 19.712229 30.019731 43.614954 60.463475 82.435438
2025-03-23 6.923542 12.467190 20.156943 31.041991 45.498174 63.511010 87.106552
2025-03-30 6.718284 12.375383 20.325283 31.687434 46.891270 65.947636 91.031192
2025-04-06 6.172340 11.737831 19.701929 31.236185 46.829662 66.531078 92.633398
2025-04-13 5.510573 10.880404 18.728549 30.269382 46.055159 66.180040 93.039100
2025-04-20 5.298288 10.718576 18.748443 30.670956 47.098782 68.160041 96.396401
2025-04-27 5.100457 10.568174 18.776184 31.077531 48.147196 70.149039 99.773890
2025-05-04 4.756800 10.158449 18.402780 30.902402 48.398167 71.097652 101.822712
2025-05-11 4.526687 9.924546 18.281718 31.078196 49.121380 72.660709 104.662975